Trip Planning for Lionhead Range

as of 5:00 am
Today0″ | NA
Apr 27 0″ | NA
Apr 26 0″ | NA
9420′     04/18 at 15:00
46.0℉
W - 0mph
Gusts 0 mph
7750′     04/28 at 14:00
45℉
50″ Depth
Primary Problem: Wind Slab
Bottom Line: Avalanche conditions are complicated by a mix of winter and spring weather this week. Rain and snow fell on mountain snowpacks, with the most significant precipitation in the Bridger Range for the start of the week. The more new snow there is, the more likely you are to encounter avalanches and the larger their potential size. If your travel plans take you to slopes steeper than 30 degrees, assess how the new and wind-drifted snow is bonding to the old snow surface by watching for clear signs of instability, such as avalanches and shooting cracks. If rain fell on the snowpack and as temperatures warm, breaking through an unsupportable and slushy snowpack, seeing pinwheels of wet snow and small wet slides are indicators of wet snow instability.

Past 5 Days

Sat Apr 19

Moderate
Sun Apr 20

Low
Mon Apr 21

None
Fri Apr 25

None
Today

None

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Videos- Lionhead Range

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Rendezvous Ski Trail, W. Yellowstone

Snowpit Profiles- Lionhead Range

 

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Weather Forecast Lionhead Range

Extended Forecast for

10 Miles WNW West Yellowstone MT

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of snow showers.  Partly sunny, with a high near 39. North northwest wind around 11 mph.

    High: 39 °F

    Slight Chance
    Snow Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 20 percent chance of snow showers before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. North wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the evening.

    Low: 29 °F

    Slight Chance
    Snow Showers
    then Partly
    Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of rain and snow showers, mainly after 3pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 42. Southwest wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    High: 42 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    Rain/Snow

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Snow showers.  Low around 28. Southwest wind 10 to 14 mph becoming north northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

    Low: 28 °F

    Snow Showers
    then Snow
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of snow showers.  Partly sunny, with a high near 39. North wind around 11 mph.  New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

    High: 39 °F

    Chance Snow
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 25. North wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 25 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 47. North northeast wind around 7 mph becoming west in the afternoon.

    High: 47 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 30. West wind 7 to 9 mph becoming southeast after midnight.

    Low: 30 °F

    Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 53.

    High: 53 °F

    Sunny

The Last Word

Thank you for another successful season. Our success is directly related to support from our community and the Forest Service. Thanks to the readers of the forecast, everyone that sent in observations, took an avalanche class, or donated money, time or gear. We will issue conditions updates on Mondays and Fridays through April.

GENERAL SPRING SNOWPACK AND TRAVEL ADVICE

Spring weather can be highly variable and create a mix of avalanche problems. Snow conditions and stability can change drastically from day to day or hour to hour. Anticipate rapid change and plan accordingly. Abundant snowfall over the winter with more spring snow to come makes avalanches possible into summer.

NEW SNOW AND WIND LOADED SLOPES

Spring storms are notorious for depositing heavy amounts of snow in the mountains. Even with a deep and generally stable snowpack throughout the advisory area, heavy and rapid loads of new snow will decrease stability. The main problems to look out for are avalanches breaking within the new snow, wind slabs, and loose snow avalanches. The likelihood of triggering an avalanche spikes during and immediately after snowstorms. New snow instabilities tend to stabilize quickly, but it’s a good idea to give fresh snow a day to adjust before hitting big terrain. New snow instabilities can be challenging to assess, and spring storms bond to old snow differently across aspects and elevations. Conservative terrain selection is essential during and immediately following storms. Avoid wind-loaded slopes and slopes steeper than 35 degrees for 24-48 hours after new snow and wind.

New snow can quickly change from dry to wet on a spring day, and stability can decrease rapidly with above freezing temperatures or brief sunshine. New snow may bond well early in the morning and then easily slide later. Wet loose slides are likely during the first above freezing temperatures or sunshine immediately after a storm. Anticipate changes in snow stability as you change aspect or elevation and over the course of the day. An early start is always an advantage. Be ready to change plans or move to safer terrain at the first signs of decreasing stability.

WET SNOW AVALANCHES

Spring and wet snow avalanches go hand-in-hand. Above freezing temperatures, rain, and/or intense sunshine cause the snow to become wet and weak and make wet avalanches easy to trigger or release naturally. Conditions tend to become most unstable when temperatures stay above freezing for multiple days and nights in a row. Avoid steep terrain, and be aware of the potential for natural wet avalanches in steep terrain above you, if you see:

  • Heavy rain,
  • Above freezing temperatures for more than 24 hours,
  • Natural wet avalanches,
  • Rollerballs or pinwheels indicating a moist or wet snow surface,
  • Or if you sink to your boot top in wet snow.

In general, if the snow surface freezes solid overnight, the snowpack will be stable in the morning and stability will decrease through the day as snow warms up. The snow surface hardness, rate of warming, duration of sunshine, aspect and elevation determine how fast stability will decrease through the day. Be aware that sunny aspects may have a wet snow avalanche danger while shadier slopes still have a dry snow avalanche danger. Getting off of steep slopes should be considered when, or before, the above signs of instability are present. Wet snow avalanches, whether loose snow or slabs, can be powerful, destructive and very dangerous. Conservative terrain choices, starting early in the day, and careful observations can keep you safe. See Alex’s recent video, and this article for more spring travel advice.

CORNICES

Cornices along ridgelines are massive and can break under the weight of a person (photo). Prolonged above freezing temperatures and rain make them weaker and possible to break naturally. They can break off suddenly and farther back than one might expect. Cornice falls can also entrain large amounts of loose snow or trigger slab avalanches. Stay far back from the edge of ridgelines and minimize exposure to slopes directly below cornices. Regardless of whether a cornice triggers a slide or not, a falling cornice is dangerous to anyone in its path.

DISCLAIMER

It does not matter if new snow falls or not, avalanches will continue to occur until the existing snowpack is mostly gone. Always assess the slope you plan to ride with diligence and safety in mind. Do not let your guard down. Travel with a partner, carry rescue gear and only expose one person at a time in avalanche terrain.

Have a safe and enjoyable spring and summer!

Mark, Alex, Ian and Dave

For more spring travel advice see this article from our GNFAC forecaster blog.

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